Publications & Downloads
Practice oriented publications
Multiple scenarios
Good scenarios can also ensure stability in uncertain times. What robust steps can help to avoid mistakes and make a good scenario more likely?
EFCA’s 2023
Future Trends Report
How can consulting engineers safeguard their future relevance in a permantly changing environment?
Future scenarios for the German Wind Energy industry
How could the German wind energy industry evolve and look like in the year 2033?
Future Scenario for the European heavy-duty truck market
How could the European heavy-duty truck market evolve and look like in the year 2030?
Future scenarios for the German Electromobility market
How could the German electromobility market evolve and look like in the year 2030?
Multiple Szenarien
Wie lassen sich in Zeiten des Ukraine Krieges,
COVID-19 und des Klimawandels zukunftssichere Strategien planen?
Future scenarios for the German Energy Market
How could the German energy market evolve and look like in the year 2035?
EFCA’s 2022
Future Trends Report
How can the consulting engineering industry overcome the challenges of digitisation, harmonisation, and sustainability?
Future Scenarios for the European Airline Industry
How could the European aviation industry develop and look like in the year 2030?
Which way to go?
Strategic Scenarios for consulting engineers
in times of high uncertainty.
Ein besseres Bild der Zukunft
Kluge Szenarien als Antwort auf Covid-19.
Scenario-based
strategic planning
Developing strategies in an uncertain world.
Publications
Articles in peer-viewed journals
Dorsch, T., Jaskiewicz, P., Combs, J. G., & Wulf, T. (2023). Uncertainty around Transgenerational Control: Implications for Innovation Prior to Succession. Family Business Review, 0(0). DOI: 10.1177/08944865231203047.
Müller, F.A., Wulf, T. (2023): Differences in Learning Effectiveness Across Management Learning Environments: A Cognitive Load Theory Perspective. Journal of Management Education, 0(0). 10.1177. DOI: 10.1177/10525629231200206.
Bornhausen, A.M., Wulf, T. (2023): Digital innovation in family firms: The roles of non-family managers and transgenerational control intentions. Small Business Economics. DOI: 10.1007/s11187-023-00823-w
Kiegler, S., Wulf, T., & Meissner, P. (2021): Psychological capital and strategic decision outcomes. Journal of Strategy and Management. 15(2), 303-325. DOI: 10.1108/JSMA-03-2021-0065.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2021): The Hidden Values Driving Strategy. MIT Sloan Management Review. 62 (2), 1A-5A.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T., Neidhardt, H. (2020): Superschnelles Wachstum. Harvard-Business manager 20 (11), p. 72-77.
Müller, F. A., Wulf, T. (2021): Blended learning environments that work: An evidence-based instructional design for the delivery of qualitative management modules. The International Journal of Management Education. 19(3). DOI: 10.1016/j.ijme.2021.100530.
Hönl, A., Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2020): Betting the farm and playing it safe? Hyper-core self-evaluation in decisions when managers are winning and losing. Business Research. 13(3), 1293-1316. DOI: 10.1007/s40685-020-00132-y.
Meissner, P., Poensgen, C., Wulf, T. (2020): How hot cognition can lead us astray: The effect of anger on strategic decision making. European Management Journal, 39 (4), 434-444. DOI: 10.1016/j.emj.2020.09.010.
Florian, S., Meißner, P., Wulf, T. (2019): Differences in Strategic Issue Interpretation across Cultures – A Socio‐Cognitive Perspective. European Management Review, 17(1), 197-208. DOI: 10.1111/emre-12361.
Wulf, T., Meissner, P., Hutzschenreuter, T. (2018): Der Stratege der Zukunft. Harvard-Business manager, 18 (12), pp. 38-45.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2018): So reagieren Sie auf Disruption. Harvard-Business Manager, 18 (4), pp. 76-82.
Neumann, F. (2017): Antecedents and effects of emotions in strategic decision-making: a literature review and conceptual model. Management Review Quarterly, 67(3), 175-200. DOI: 10.1007/s11301-017-0127-1.
Hönl, A., Meißner, P., Wulf, T. (2017): Risk attribution theory: An exploratory conceptualization of individual choice under uncertainty. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 17(67), pp. 20-27. DOI 10.1016/j-socec-2017-02-001.
Meissner, P., Brands, C., Wulf, T. (2016): Quantifying blind spots and weak signals in executive judgement: A structured integration of expert judgment into the scenario development process. International Journal of Forecasting, 33(1), pp. 244-253. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2015.08.002.
Meißner, P., Wulf, T. (2016): The effect of cognitive diversity on the illusion of control bias in strategic decisions: An experimental investigation. European Management Journal, 35(4), pp. 430-439. DOI 10.1016/j-emj-2016-12-004.
Meissner, P., Sibony, O,, Wulf, T. (2015): Are you ready to decide?, in: McKinsey Quarterly, April.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2015): The Development of Strategy Scenarios Based on Prospective Hindsight: An Approach to Strategic Decision Making. Journal of Strategy and Managememt, 8(2), pp. 176-190. DOI: 10.1108/JSMA-01-2015-0004.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2014): Debiasing illusion of control in individual judgment: the role of internal and external advice seeking. Review of Managerial Science, 10, pp. 245–263. DOI 10.1007/s11846-014-0144-6.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2014): Antecedents and effects of decision comprehensiveness: The role of decision quality and perceived uncertainty. European Management Journal, 32(4), pp. 625-635. DOI: 10.1016/j.emj.2013.10.006.
Meissner, P., Wulf, T. (2013). Cognitive benefits of scenario planning – its impact on biases and decision quality. Technological Forcasting and Social Change, 80(4), pp. 801–814. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.011.
Wulf, T., Meissner, P., Busse, S. (2013): Mit Katastrophen planen, in: Harvard-Business Manager, 13 (7), pp. 80-82.
Stubner, S., Wulf, T. (2012): Strategische Planung und strategisches Controlling mit Szenarien. Controlling, 24(10), pp. 523-528.
DOI: 10.15358/0935-0381-2012-10-523.
Brands, C., Meissner, P., Stubner, S., Wulf, T. (2012): Szenario basierte Strategische Planung in volatilen Umfeldern. Controlling & Management, 56(2), pp. 34-38. DOI: 10.1365/s12176-012-0380-z.
Wulf, T., Kyrs, C., Brands, C., Meissner, P., Stubner, S. (2011): Ein Radar für die Strategieplanung, in: Harvard-Business Manager, 11 (3), pp. 56-62
Working papers
Wulf, T., Brands, C., Meissner, P. (2011): A Scenario-based Approach to Strategic Planning: Tool Description – Scenario Matrix.
Wulf, T., Brands, C., Meissner, P. (2011): A Scenario-based Approach to Strategic Planning: Tool Description Framing Checklist.
Wulf, T., Brands, C., Meissner, P. (2011): A Scenario-based Approach to Strategic Planning: Tool Description Impact-Uncertainty-Grid.
Wulf, T., Meißner, P., Stubner, S. (2010): A Scenario-based Approach to Strategic Planning – Integrating Planning and Process Perspective of Strategy. Working Paper Chair of Strategic Management and Organization, No. 6 Leipzig: HHL – Leipzig Graduate School of Management.
Wulf, T., Brands, C., Meissner, P. (2010): A Scenario-based Approach to Strategic Planning: Tool Description 360° – Stakeholder Feedback. Working Paper Chair of Strategic Management and Organization, No. 8 Leipzig: HHL – Leipzig Graduate School of Management.